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$100 Brent And A 5.35% Ten-Year Just Broke Your Pivot Trade

$100 Brent And A 5.35% Ten-Year Just Broke Your Pivot Trade

Oil, the dollar, and hawkish minutes hit on the same tape. Here is what gets repriced.

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Wednesday's FOMC Minutes Will Decide Whether Your Rally Survives

Wednesday's FOMC Minutes Will Decide Whether Your Rally Survives

One release Wednesday afternoon settles the hawkish-versus-dovish fight for the next two months.

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Shoppers Are Paying More And Buying Less, And Q4 Earnings Will Show It

Shoppers Are Paying More And Buying Less, And Q4 Earnings Will Show It

Holiday sales are headed for a record, and most of that gain is just higher prices.

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The Dollar Is Winning Every Fight Except The One That Actually Matters

The Dollar Is Winning Every Fight Except The One That Actually Matters

Reserve preference is shifting under your feet and long yields are the only tell left.

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Yields Reset Higher, and Every Valuation Model Just Got Rewritten

Yields Reset Higher, and Every Valuation Model Just Got Rewritten

A global yield reset, a 38% crude run, and a payrolls print all hit the same week.

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The Week Japan Stopped Being the World's Cheapest Lender

The Week Japan Stopped Being the World's Cheapest Lender

Japan's bond yields just hit a 30-year high, and your US portfolio sits on the other end of it.

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Friday Brings Durable Goods and GDP, Monday Delivers the First Consumer Bellwether

Friday Brings Durable Goods and GDP, Monday Delivers the First Consumer Bellwether

Four calendar events between now and next week decide whether the yield rout keeps running.

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The Bond Market Is Telling You Rate Cuts Are Off The Table

The Bond Market Is Telling You Rate Cuts Are Off The Table

A bulging belly in the curve says higher-for-longer, and your rate-sensitive book knows it.

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Are You Hedged For Next Week's Trump-Xi Headline?

Are You Hedged For Next Week's Trump-Xi Headline?

Warsh went hawkish, Hormuz is choking, and China risk lands on your desk Tuesday morning.

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Warsh's First Hike Just Repriced Every Duration Trade You Own

Warsh's First Hike Just Repriced Every Duration Trade You Own

The insurance-cut era is over and your rate-sensitive book is already paying for it.

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Oil Spiked, The Curve Compressed, And Now Warsh Owns Wednesday Afternoon

Oil Spiked, The Curve Compressed, And Now Warsh Owns Wednesday Afternoon

Brent near triple digits and a flattening curve just rewrote your Fed week playbook.

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The Three Forces Repricing Your Portfolio Before Wednesday

The Three Forces Repricing Your Portfolio Before Wednesday

Three forces are squeezing your portfolio this week, and none of them are about oil.